PricewaterhouseCoopers Ghana (PwC), an auditing and tax agency, says if negotiations with exterior collectors and debt holders usually are not concluded expeditiously, Ghana’s financial restoration may stall.
PwC indicated that the delayed negotiations may make the investor neighborhood and monetary markets jittery, and the worldwide ranking companies could thrust Ghana’s bond scores additional into junk credit score territory.
The auditing company disclosed this in its 2024 Budget Digest on the theme: “Pursuing Growth and Development within a Stable Macroeconomic Environment.”
The company acknowledged the progress made within the economic system as headline inflation had dropped virtually 1900 foundation factors from 54.1 per cent to 35.2 per cent.
PwC additionally acknowledged the steadiness of the forex because of the restoration of financial exercise, considerably improved present account place and foreign exchange liquidity on the again of the IMF’s funding, a rebound in investor confidence, and an improved central financial institution gross worldwide reserve.
The company additionally acknowledged appreciable enhancements within the public debt place by way of profitable debt therapy workouts, resulting in a fall within the public debt-to-GDP ratio from 73.1 per cent on the finish of 2022 to 66.4 per cent in September 2023.
Despite the progress made, the company mentioned a extra crucial take a look at the microeconomic image past the shiny macroeconomic knowledge revealed much less glamorous photographs.
“For instance, the Minister references a banking industry that has reported after-tax profits of GH¢6.2 billion, representing 43.8 per cent growth. The question that begs an answer is “at what cost?” the report mentioned.
“The Bank of Ghana’s Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) observed in their September 25, 2023, report that the annual growth rate of private sector credit over the 12 months up to August 2023 was 10.7 per cent compared to 35.8 per cent over the 2021–2022 equivalent period,” the report mentioned.
“In real terms, private sector credit contracted by 21 per cent compared to a growth of 1.4 per cent in the equivalent comparable prior period,” the report famous.
According to the company, these elements, coupled with the business’s non-performing loans (NPL) ratio rising from 14 per cent in August 2022 to twenty per cent in August 2023, mirror the poor efficiency of the true sector and the elevated danger aversion of banks for the true sectors of the economic system.
Source: GNA
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